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GOL Investor Update
São Paulo, October 20, 2008 GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (Bovespa: GOLL4 and NYSE: GOL), Brazils low-cost airline, provides its investor update
Current News
The Company recently added service to the following city pairs:
City Pair | Weekly Freq. |
Start Date | ||
São Paulo/Guarulhos - Manaus | 7x | 8-jun-08 | ||
Manaus - São Paulo/Guarulhos | 7x | 9-jun-08 | ||
Fortaleza - Rio de Janeiro/Galeão | 1x | 13-jul-08 | ||
Rio de Janeiro/Galeão - Fortaleza | 1x | 13-jul-08 | ||
Salvador - São Paulo/Guarulhos | 1x | 16-jul-08 | ||
Rio de Janeiro/Galeão - Porto Alegre | 1x | 20-ago-08 | ||
Porto Alegre - Rio de Janeiro/Galeão | 1x | 21-ago-08 | ||
Specific details regarding frequency and start dates can be found at www.voegol.com.br and www.varig.com
General Guidance
General Comments 3Q08E:
Industry Metrics | 2Q08A (+/-) |
3Q08E (+/-) |
||
Brazilian GDP Growth (%) | 5.0 (3) | 4.7 (1) (3) | ||
Domestic RPK Growth (%) | 17.2 (2) (4) | 9.9 (1) (7) | ||
Brazilian Inflation (%, IPCA) | 2.1 (3) | 1.1 (6) | ||
BRL / USD (R$, average) | 1.66 (3) | 1.69 (6) | ||
WTI (US$, average) | 124 (5) | 118 (8) | ||
(1) | 3Q08 vs. 3Q07 |
(2) | 2Q08 vs. 2Q07 |
(3) | Source: Brazilian Central Bank |
(4) | Source: ANAC |
(5) | Source: Bloomberg |
(6) | Source: MCM Consultores |
(7) | Source: GOL |
(8) | Source: Bank Analyst Projections |
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3Q08E
General Comments:
Consolidated | 2Q08A | 3Q08G | 3Q08E | 3Q07A | ||||
(+/-) | (+/-) | (+/-) | (+/-) | |||||
ASK Growth | 23% | 8% | 11% | 72% | ||||
Load Factor | 65% | 60% | 60% | 61% | ||||
Yield (cents) | R$19 | R$26 | R$27 | R$21 | ||||
Cask ex-fuel (cents) | R$ 9.7 | R$ 9.4 | R$ 9.9 | R$ 8.7 | ||||
During 3Q08, 10 737-300s and 8 767s were removed from the fleet, causing an increase in maintenance expenses and a decrease in ASK production, thus increasing the Companys consolidated CASK.
GOLs average stage length is projected to be approximately 905 kilometers in 3Q08 versus 974 kilometers in the 3Q07.
Aircraft Delivery Schedule
As of June 30, 2008, GOLs fleet was comprised of 102 Boeing 737 aircraft and 10 Boeing 767s and had 97 aircraft on order with options to acquire an additional 40 aircraft. The 2008 delivery schedule and related financings are:
B737-800 SFP firm | Committed Financing | |||
Mortgage (Exim) | Sale/Leaseback | |||
3Q08 | 1 | 2 | ||
2008E | 5 | 4 | ||
During the third quarter, GOL added 12 Boeing 737 aircraft and removed 10 Boeing 737-300s and 8 767-300s from its consolidated fleet.
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Fuel Hedges
The Company continues to employ advanced fuel derivative agreements to reduce its exposure to fluctuations in fuel price. Current agreements covering 2008 are:
3Q08 | ||
Estimated Fuel Liters Consumed (mm) | 330 | |
Estimated Fuel Price per Liter (R$) | 2.29 | |
Liters (% of estimated consumption) | 201 million (61%) | |
HO and WTI with average price of US$133/bbl | ||
Operating Margin
(Estimated EBIT margin, US GAAP)
3Q08 | ||
Estimated Operating Margin (%) | -1 - +1% | |
Financial Results and Exchange Variation
On June 30, 2008, the Company had hedges for approximately 55% and 19% of its jet fuel requirements at average crude equivalent prices of approximately US$132 and US$133 per barrel for the third and fourth quarters of 2008, respectively. During 3Q08, the Company sold those positions.
The Company also utilizes financial derivative instruments such as hedges to offset its exposure to increases in the US$ exchange rate. On September 30, 2008, the Company had approximately 46%, 25% and 12% of its short and medium term obligations in foreign currency hedged for 4Q08, 1Q09 and 2Q09, respectively.
The impact of gains in currency hedges and losses in fuel hedges in the quarter results in an approximate net loss of R$48mm.
During 3Q08, the U.S. Dollar appreciated 20% versus the Brazilian Real, equivalent to R$0.32. The exchange variation on GOLs net foreign currency liabilities, mainly related to long-term debt, with average term of 7.3 years, will have a negative non-cash impact of approximately R$225mm in the quarter.
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CONTACT: | About GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A | |
IR | GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (NYSE: GOL and Bovespa: GOLL4), Brazils low-cost airline, offers nearly 800 daily flights to 49 destinations connecting the most important cities in Brazil and ten major destinations in South America. The Company operates a young, modern fleet of Boeing 737 Next Generation, the safest and most comfortable aircraft of its class that provides low maintenance, fuel and training costs, as well as high aircraft utilization and efficiency ratios. The Companys service is recognized as the best value proposition in the market. | |
Ph.: (5511) 3169-6800 | ||
ri@golnaweb.com.br | ||
www.voegol.com.br/ir | ||
Media | ||
Ph.: (5511) 3169-6967 | ||
comcorp@golnaweb.com.br | ||
Edelman: | This release contains forward-looking statements relating to the prospects of the business, estimates for operating and financial results, and those related to growth prospects of GOL These are merely projections and, as such, are based exclusively on the expectations of GOLs management. . Such forward-looking statements depend, substantially, on external factors, besides those disclosed in GOLs filed disclosure documents and are, therefore, subject to change without prior notice. | |
M. Smith and N. Dean | ||
Ph: 1 (212) 704-8196 / 704-4484 | ||
meaghan.smith@edelman.com | ||
noelle.dean@edelman.com | ||
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GOL LINHAS AÉREAS INTELIGENTES S.A. |
||
By: |
/S/ Anna Cecília Bettencourt Cochrane |
|
Name: Anna Cecília Bettencourt Cochrane
Title: Investor Relations Officer |
This press release may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are statements that are not historical facts, and are based on management's current view and estimates offuture economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results. The words "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "plans" and similar expressions, as they relate to the company, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Statements regarding the declaration or payment of dividends, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the direction of future operations and the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are examples of forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will a ctually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.