INTERCONTINENTALEXCHANGE,INC.
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Kelly Loeffler
IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Director of Marketing
Jeff Sprecher
IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Chuck Vice
IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Richard Spencer
IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
PRESENTATION
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the IntercontinentalExchange Third Quarter
Earnings Release Conference Call. My name is Annie, and I will be your coordinator for today.
OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS
I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for todays call, Ms. Kelly Loeffler.
Please proceed, maam.
Kelly Loeffler IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Director of Marketing
Good morning. To obtain a copy of the companys Third Quarter earnings release please visit the
Investor Resources section of our website at www.theice.com. Weve included on our website a
slideshow presentation in conjunction with our call today. These items will be archived and
available for replay. Before we begin, please be aware that our comments may contain
forward-looking statements. These statements represent our current judgment and are subject to
various risks, assumptions, and uncertainties as outlined in the companys filing with FCC. In
connection with the ICEs with ICEs proposed merger with the New York Board of Trade, ICE has
filed certain relevant documents with the FCC and plans on filing additional relevant documents
with the FCC regarding the merger in the future.
No communications on this call shall constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer
to buy the securities. Actual results may differ materially from those that are expressed or
anticipated. Id like now like to turn the call over Jeff Sprecher, ICEs Chairman and CEO.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Thank you, Kelly. Ill begin our Third Quarter 2006 Earnings Call today by providing an
overview of the drivers of our record results during the quarter. Chuck Vice, our President and
COO, will provide a brief update on technology and an overview of our over-the-counter markets. And
Richard Spencer, our CFO, will detail ICEs financial results. Well keep our comments brief so that
we can take your questions on the call.
Im pleased to announce that our third quarter results produced diluted earnings per share of $0.73
and were driven by record revenues, trading volume, operating margin, and net income. Our
consolidated revenues of $95 million represented a 109% increase in revenue in the third quarter
and compared to 45 million in last years third quarter. Our operating income increased 163% to $65
million during the quarter.
We were disciplined in managing costs amid rapid growth and our operating margin rose to 69%, a 14
percentage point increase over last years third quarter and a 5 percentage point increase
sequentially. As a result net income rose to $44 million, an increase of over 160% compared to last
years third quarter. Id also like to note that our third quarter revenues grew 29% sequentially
while expenses grew only 12% over the second quarter of 2006.
Now Id like to recap a few of our major accomplishments during the quarter and highlight some of
our key initiatives. First, as most of you know, on September 14th we announced our transaction to
acquire the New York Board of Trade comprising of 10.297 million shares of ICE common stock and
$400 million in cash. This transaction will create a global commodities marketplace that offers a
diverse suite of derivatives
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
on energy commodities, soft commodities, foreign exchange and equity indices together with a
centralized clearing house and state of the art technology.
NYBOT business is rapidly growing. NYBOT revenues through June 30th this year increased 15% to %50
million and net income increased 24% to $11 million. Year-to-date, volume growth in their key
benchmark contracts, sugar, coffee, cotton, cocoa and orange juice is in excess of 25%
year-over-year. In addition to the core commodities that serve a global customer base, NYBOT offers
an attractive suite of foreign exchange and index products that represent further growth
opportunities.
Over the past several weeks I had the opportunity to meet with many of the NYBOT members and Ive
been extremely impressed by the quality of people and the depth of knowledge associated with the
exchange. Weve spent time with the management, the Board, trade groups and individual traders and
we believe they share our vision for growth and innovation on a global scale and were very excited
about the opportunities that we see working together.
Im pleased to announce solid progress on the transaction. Earlier this week we filed the initial
registration statement on Form S-4 with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Also this week we
received notice of the early termination of the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust waiting period thereby
clearing the transaction for closing from a competition standpoint. We expect that NYBOT member
vote will take place within the next 12 weeks and the closing of the transaction to occur in the
first quarter of 2007. We expect to soon finalize the commercial terms of a technology outsourcing
agreement pursuant to which NYBOTs products can be listed for electronic trading.
NYBOT will announce the suite of products available for electronic trading on the ICE platform and
the timing of their launch of electronic trading of these products.
In addition to expanding our market place through the proposed NYBOT acquisition, Im particularly
pleased to highlight the continued strength of our energy markets. In each of our business segments
we set volume and commission records in the third quarter. At ICE futures, average daily volume in
the third quarter rose 125% to 413,000 contracts per day. Quarterly volume records were established
in ICE futures Brent, WTI and gas oil products and we maintained a 50% market share in the global
crude futures market which compares to only a 36% market share at the beginning of 2006.
Id like to note that earlier this week we established a daily volume record in our Brent contract
and we set new open interest records in both Brent and WTI crude. To date, ICEs open interest in
crude futures has grown a remarkable 136% since January of this year. As of yesterday, November
1st, our total crude futures open interest exceeded 1 million contracts for the first time in our
history. Now just below the level of crude futures open interest at the NYMEX.
In a space of less than one year, this is a very significant achievement. The ability of our
customers to trade a liquid Brent and WTI market through one screen and one clearing house produces
both capital and transaction efficiencies that are not available in any other market today.
Now in our over-the-counter business, our daily commissions rose 95% to a record $738,000 per day
for the quarter. New products in ICEs cleared over-the-counter markets this year produced 2.1
million in revenue in the third quarter which is slightly ahead of our early expectations. It is
important to note that our new products in the OTC markets tend to drive increased trading in our
existing core products. Therefore the contribution by new products on an overall commission levels
tends to be much greater than simply the revenues that are attributable to the new contracts
themselves.
We achieved each of these milestones by maintaining a focus on introducing new products and adding
new customers while continuing to serve our core participants base. Market participants
increasingly rely on ICEs electronic energy marketplace and what was an extremely volatile quarter
for energy prices. During the last few months the global energy complex was impacted by geo
political threats arising in the Middle East and North Korea as well as a thwarted terrorist attack
in London. In North America supply concerns arose due to infrastructure issues coupled with severe
heat waves and early predications that the US would experience a difficult hurricane season.
These concerns then dramatically abated with the eventual lack of hurricane activity. Despite
continued price volatility which has characterized energy prices over the last decade price levels
for natural gas and crude oil fell to multi month lows during the quarter as a result of mild
weather and strong inventory levels.
Each of these events increased the demand for real time access to out transparent and liquid energy
markets.
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
As we have often noted the largest participant group in our markets are commercial participants and
this is evident by the growing open interest that we have. These hedgers have increasingly been
served by the growing liquidity in ICE markets in which new types of market entrance have helped
expand.
Traditionally liquidity providers such as funds, proprietary traders and algorythmic trading firms
participated only in fixed income and equity markets. Today as the commodities markets are becoming
increasingly mature they play an important role in facilitating risk transfer. These liquidity
providers enable producers, manufacturers and consumers to lay off risk of adverse price movements
and the presence of both hedgers and speculators are vital to a properly functioning market. A
point that often gets lost during periods of high prices.
Moving on to the regulatory side of our business I am pleased to say that earlier this week the US
Commodities Futures Trading Commission issued a policy statement providing regulatory certainty for
foreign boards of trade such as ICE futures that operate in the US. The Commissions statement
supported our position regarding the effectiveness of the current no action letter process. By
maintaining this process exchanges like ICE futures will meet appropriate and comparable regulatory
standards will continue to have the ability to offer electronic trading screens in the US.
We believe that the industry will benefit from the CFTCs work and that it will continue ICE
futures to better serve what is becoming a global trading community.
With regard to our US over-the-counter natural gas business we have continued the dialogue with the
CFTC to ensure that we are in full compliance with our regulatory obligations. ICE had been working
closely with the CFTC to provide the commission with information in response to CFTC requests,
These reports comprise the equivalent of large trader position reporting for certain OTC natural
gas markets into which he CFTC desires additional visibility in order to meet its mandate to
regulate the futures market.
We believe that the CFTC has the authority and the policies to observe relevant OTC markets and we
are confident that CFTCs thoughtful conduct in the manner in which it obtains OTC data today does
not in any way disadvantage ICE relative to other execution venues. The CFTCs informational access
points in the ICEs OTC markets include ICEs adherence to the CFTCs established rules for
transaction reporting, complaint reporting, and recordkeeping, which facilitate the CFTCs
enforcement of the anti-fraud and anti-manipulation laws that are applicable to over-the-counter
markets.
Today, ICE is one of the very few venues in North America that provides the CFTC with this level of
transparency into the over-the-counter markets.
Finally, were very encouraged by the long term adoption of commodities as an asset class. The
expansion into this sector continues and weve seen a growing number of market participants and
increasing sophistication of products to manage commodity price exposure. Were working on several
initiatives that will allow us to further serve the global energy community through innovation in
technology, products and market data. Youll see some of these initiatives announced in the coming
weeks and months.
Id now like to turn the discussion over to Chuck Vice to provide an update on our technology
platform and to give you a brief overview of our OTC market structure.
Chuck Vice IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Thank you, Jeff. Before I discuss our OTC markets, I want to briefly highlight some recent
technology enhancements. As we discussed, ICE has committed to being a technology leader among
exchanges and we always have a number of initiatives underway. First and most recently we completed
the move to new servers to speed processing times and expand capacity. This upgrade reduced
processing time by 30% off the 31 millisecond average we reported last quarter, making the platform
among the industrys fastest.
In the first quarter of 2007 we plan a major upgrade of our matching engine software to further
increase system capacity and reduce processing time.
Another technology initiative that we began almost a year ago is a co-location service for our most
demanding algorithmic and momentum traders. This program allows location of a customers
proprietary servers within our data center to eliminate latency between the facility and the end
user. Many customers already participate in this very popular program and more are in various
stages of implementation.
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
From a functionality standpoint, in September we enabled full spread implication in our gas well
futures market and immediately saw a dramatic increase in the number of prices out the curve. Over
time we expected this increased transparency to result in more back month, gas-oil volume and plan
to enable full implication for Brent and WTI crude futures this quarter.
Our spreads engine is unique in calculating multiple generations of implied/unimplied pricing. As a
result, each day customers execute individual trades in our gas-oil market that chain as many as
six or seven different contract months.
Also in the third quarter we replaced and retired all ICE futures legacy systems for membership,
compliance, option settlement and real-time price fees. This allowed us to vacate the leased ICE
futures floor premises and sell our former open outcry disaster recovery site in London. The sale
of that property to be detailed in our coming Form 10-Q should be finalized in the first quarter of
2007 when we will record an $8.6 million net gain on disposal of that asset.
Elimination of these legacy systems reduced our overhead, and in the case of our new real-time
price feed, allowed us to enhance our quote vendor product to offer market depth.
Id now like to talk a bit about the nature of our OTC markets. As we stated in the third quarter,
the OTC segment accounts for 56% of consolidated transaction revenue, but we continue to get many
questions from investors and analysts seeking to better understand this part of our business.
In distinguishing OTC markets from the more widely understood futures markets there are a number of
factors to note. First, unlike a futures trade, an over-the-counter trade may be executed through
any number of venues in order of decreasing transparency. These include ICE, telephone voice
brokers, and private negotiation between counterparties. Electronic OTC markets like ICE are held
to a higher standard than these other venues in that only professional traders meeting eligibility
criteria established by the CFTC may participate.
Another key difference between futures and OTC markets is the sheer number and diversity of trading
instruments. There tend to be a relatively small number of futures contacts that typically serve as
pricing benchmarks and represent the most liquid hub or product grade. the Henry Hub natural gas
futures contract is one example. Rather than being a major production location or city center,
however, the Henry Hub is simply a point where many pipelines interconnect. As a result, while
producers or consumers can hedge the commodity cost of natural gas using Henry Hub futures or OTC
look-alike swaps, they remain exposed to the difference in natural gas prices at Henry and a less
liquid hub closer to their operation.
In the OTC market, basis swaps allow users to hedge this location risk for over 100 unique North
American delivery points. These basis swaps settle on well-known price indices established by
leading publishers such as McGraw-Hill Platt and Natural Gas Intelligence. Users can also customize
these OTC swaps for timeframes that best match their needs. These timeframes may be as short term
as balance of the month or as long term as winter 2008 or calendar year 2009.
For power, US markets continued to mature and increasingly resemble US gas markets in that physical
trading is largely limited to short term procurement while users overwhelmingly rely on OTC swaps
for hedging purposes. These swaps can be cleared, and as a result their markets are much more
liquid and several times larger than the underlying physical market.
Today ICE is the most popular venue for execution and clearing of US power swaps with an aggregate
share of open interest above 85%. On Slide nine in the presentation weve included a shot of the
web ICE screen for selected power markets to illustrate the depth and transparency of these
markets.
Ill now turn it over to Richard for more financial details.
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
Thanks, Chuck. Providing detail on the revenue line for the third quarter, you can see on
slide 11 our consolidated revenue of $95 million was driven by strong growth in each of our
business segments. Consolidated transaction revenue which comprises futures and OTC segments
totaled $84 million for an increase of 106% and which accounted for 89% of consolidated revenues in
the quarter. Consolidated market data revenues increased to nearly $10 million, up 161% compared to
the prior years third quarter, this following a revision to market data pricing policies announced
earlier this year. Approximately 42% of ICEs revenues were derived outside of North America during
this years third quarter.
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
Transaction revenues for ICE future segments were $37 million, up 132% over third quarter of 05.
Our futures segment accounted for 44% of third quarter consolidated transaction revenues. OTC
transaction revenues increased 90% to $47 million in the third quarter compared to the same period
in 2005. This was primarily driven by growth in cleared contract volume which grew 144%
year-over-year to a record 37 million contracts during the quarter.
As you can see on slide 12, consolidated operating expenses during the third quarter totaled $29
million, and increase of 44% compared to last years third quarter. As detailed in our earnings
release, our expense base contained a meaningful variable component. The primary increase in the
third quarter resulted from the Wagner Patent loyalty payment on futures contract as trading volume
rose.
In the third quarter these royalty payments and accruals were $3 million compared to $600,000 in
last years third quarter. I would like to note that we have detailed the patent expense in our
income statement this quarter as a separate line item. In addition the non cash compensation costs
relating to FAS 123(R) resulted in a non cash compensation expense of $2 million in this quarter
compared to $400,000 in the third quarter of 05.
To briefly review our cash flow as depicted on slide 13 at the end of the third quarter
consolidated cash flows from operations were $45 million. This compared to $13 million in the same
period in 2005. Capital expenditures in the third quarter totaled $4 million and capitalized
software development cost were $1.5 million in the third quarter of 06.
Slide 14 presents the strength of our balance sheet. As of September 30, 2006 we had $248 million
in unrestricted cash and investments and an additional $16 million in restricted cash under
regulatory requirements of our ICE futures subsidiary. This compares to $133 million in
unrestricted cash and investments as of December 31, 2005. We remain debt free and have full
availability of our $50 million revolving credit facility. However, as announced we expect to incur
debt in the near future in connection with a transaction with NYBA.
We would like to note that the lock up expiration for ICEs shares of common stock held by our
founding shareholders occurred on October 15, 2006. We were notified that a block of approximately
5 million shares was placed during that week and we have disclosed this information on a Form-8K
filed with the FCC. Today ICEs full float of 57.2 million shares has no contractual restrictions
on transfer. We have included an update on some of our expectations in our earnings announcement
this morning. So to save time for your questions please refer to the earnings release for more
information.
With that I will turn it back to Jeff.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Thank you Richard. We are pleased to present these results today and we are very excited about
the opportunities that lie ahead for us. Id like to thank the 223 hard working employees at ICE
whos continued dedication make these results possible. We believe that we are extremely well
positioned among global commodities exchanges to capitalize on the opportunities that are before
us. And with that Id like to take your questions.
QUESTION AND ANSWER
Operator
[OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS]
Your first question comes from the line of Richard Repetto with Sandler ONeill & Partners L.P.
Please proceed.
Rich Repetto Sandler ONeill & Partners L.P Analyst
Yes, good morning guys and congratulations on a great quarter.
First question, leading question again. Where do you see margins going here and Ill follow it up
with do you have an 85% incremental margin, 69% operating with a couple one-timers in there?
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
Well you know I guess Rich maybe you more than anybody do the math on our company but I think Chuck
Vice tried to indicate, we are continuing to increase the through put and capacity, the speed and
the functionality of the ICE trading platform organically with our 223 person staff. So we tend to
have very highly leveraged model and beyond that it is hard to give any guidance.
Rich Repetto Sandler ONeill & Partners L.P Analyst
Well then I guess let me ask more specific with Richard on some questions. If the Wagner
Patent had rolled-off, if you didnt have the Wagner expenses that will roll-off in February the
pre tax margin the operating margin would have been 72%. The pre tax margin would have been 75 and
I am also looking at, if you just take a look at the expenses other than comp and the Wagner Patent
they went down quarter-to-quarter. So it seems like you are investing but are you getting more
efficient at the same time?
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
You have a full grasp of the model. Again I think you know Chuck indicated that he and our
colleagues in London have been working very hard to retire a number of legacy systems that we had
attached to open up our trading and weve now fully retired those so you know that has given us
some margin improvement.
Rich Repetto Sandler ONeill & Partners L.P Analyst
Okay. Then, the very last question. Jeff, as you work with the NYBOT numbers and you spend a
fair amount of time, any new thoughts or updated thoughts with regards to you know the vote in 12
weeks or the S4 that was filed earlier this week. It showed there was definitely other people
interested but any updates on how the process there is going besides sort of the prepared remarks?
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
I guess just anecdotally Chuck Vice, Richard Spencer and my other colleagues from ICE were
spending a fair amount of time getting to know people that surround the NYBOT. In my prepared
remarks I really wanted to pay some homage to the goodwill that exists around that exchange. Its
quite amazing and we have had literally people flying in from all over the world to simply come and
meet us and offer their help and services because of the goodwill they have towards the NYBOT and
the care that they have in seeing it move forward and to innovate.
So were just really excited in that we see a lot of hidden opportunity, if you will, to work with
our colleagues at NYBOT and all of the corporate and individual traders that surround it to really
unveil some innovative and interesting products. That without an electronic trading platform NYBOT
hasnt had the capacity to do on its own. So I think we feel stronger than ever that this has just
been an amazing marriage of two companies and our sense is that that goodwill is extending to the
NYBOT members and were hoping for a very strong show of support on the vote.
Rich Repetto Sandler ONeill & Partners L.P Analyst
Okay thats it guys thanks. Congrats on a very good quarter.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Goldberg from Bear Stearns. Please proceed.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
Thanks, good morning.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Good morning.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
The interest income number was higher than expected could you just go through what drove that
up this quarter?
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
It would just be the interest income its the increase of cash on hand.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Okay. So
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
We had an interest rate where we deployed the money.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Maybe you could mention where we do deploy it.
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
We have it managed in with a separate manager up with the curve probably farthest out nine
months. Majority is in around six months.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Okay so assuming that you are not significantly depleting that cash we can see that actually
as a good run rate or actually growing as your cash flow continues to increase?
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
Yes, but keep in mind we do have the acquisition coming up.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Got it. Okay. In terms of the announced, CME/CBOT deal can you talk a little about how you
kind of see that from a regulatory standpoint and any competitive issues that you might see in that
deal Jeff?
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
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© 2006 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial. |
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Final Transcript
I dont want to comment specifically on the merger. I have a lot of respect for both
management teams and have gotten to know them from our operation in the industry. Maybe I will just
say that weve done a number of acquisitions or in the process of obviously the NYBOT deal. Our own
thoughts are that weve really looked for opportunities where we can provide innovation and some
diversification but ultimately customer value. In the case of our acquisition of ICE futures it
gave us access to the London Clearing House and it gave ICE futures access to our technology. Again
in the case of NYBOT it will give us further access to clearing services and give NYBOT access to
technology.
All of those things will allow us to do more innovative and produce interesting products and
services for our customers and I think in this business you can only build shareholder value by
building customer value and so thats sort of the view that weve taken on how the business ought
to come together.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Okay.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
With that Ill sort of deny the opportunity, but thanks for offering it to comment further
specifically on their deal.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Okay. Then just lastly, Chuck talked about the enhancements to the technology and the servers.
I think you had talked about the increase in algorithmic traders youre seeing in your business. I
think you had mentioned something like 13, or 15 or so since the beginning of the year. Can you
just talk about maybe the pipeline for additional these types of traders and what impact you
think that could have on your volumes as you move forward?
Chuck Vice IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
I dont know that we give any guidance on the number of those companies other than there are
quite a few already in the data centers I said and more in the pipeline. Theres no question that
the obvious net effect is that I think that the volumes grow but the message rates grow much
faster. I think since the third quarter over second quarter our futures volumes are up I think
about 30% quarter-over-quarter something to that effect while the message volume was up something
on the order of 150%. So that gives you some idea of how the two move together.
Its certainly a growing customer base for us. I think that customer- made, base-finding the
commercial paper thats in our markets is really what I think is the successful formula for us. So
one of the things we have done, I dont know if weve mentioned it anywhere yet but in terms of our
capital expenditure guidance there weve historically given you I think 15 to 20 over 06 and 07.
Were probably going to come in around 12 this year and were going to raise the estimate of that
for 07 from 15 to 20 million for 2007.
Again thats again, more build out of our overall system, data center expansion,
telecommunication network expansion and of course capacity additions for adding the NYBOT market
and their products as well.
Daniel Goldberg Bear Stearns Analyst
Okay. Thanks a lot.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Joshua Carter with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
Hi. Thanks. Good morning.
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Final Transcript
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Good morning.
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
Just a quick question on the expenses. The comp was actually a little lower than I was
expecting and Im wondering if there were any changes in the way youve accrued bonus or incentive
compensations there in the quarter?
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
No changes, Josh.
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
Okay, excellent.
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Management has lobbied for increasing that but to .
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
To no avail?
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
But comp is determined by our Board of Directors.
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
Okay, super. And then would love to dig a little more into the drivers of the OTC growth.
Appreciated the comments and also it looks like you gave added disclosure on it. If I calculated it
correctly, that new products are contributing about 5% of revenues in the quarter, is that right?
For the OTC line?
Richard Spencer IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. CFO
Yes.
Joshua Carter Goldman Sachs Analyst
Okay, but your comments alluded that the contribution margins much higher and so that the
contribution of profit would be obviously higher than that?
Jeff Sprecher IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Correct.
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Final Transcript
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
Are there any particular pockets within the new products or within OTC generally that are far
exceeding your expectations?
Chuck Vice - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Well, I
think were pretty on the basis swaps comprised, natural
gas basis swaps, which I
explained a little bit in my remarks, comprised of a large number of the new products that we
launched. And those, I also in the remarks tried to describe the interplay between those products
and the Henry Hub look-alike in futures contracts.
So, I
think, what Jeffs alluding to, the fact that we have more of these cleared basis swaps
available now as well as other types of swaps I havent gone into, swing-swaps, that to the extent
that customers come in and begin trading those new cleared products. We believe theyre, and we see
to some extent there, that theyre more inclined to begin trading or increase the trading they do
in our entry help look-alikes.
I think, on the power side, a number of the cleared products were power as well. I gave you some
sense for OTC power market we have a very strong position. There are no futures markets of note yet
in the U.S. power market and so its essentially, almost exclusively, an OTC market and we have a
very, very strong position there. And we see the new cleared power contracts, you know, continuing
to build up at offering and continuing, I think, to help us maintain this strong position to fend
off the competition.
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
Im sorry, whats the rough break down of the power as a percentage total OTC?
Chuck Vice - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Percentage of OTC? 10, 15%? Its about 10 to 15%.
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
Okay, great. And then further on OTC. Have you seen any progress among your competition, the
voice brokers community in terms of building any sort of electronic alternatives or, and I guess,
could you comment on your perception of their ability to actually build liquidity or any sort of
electronic platform that would be competitive to ICE?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Well I think the short answer is yes. I mean theres a lot of innovation going on in the space
right now and obviously the success of ICE is going to ultimately attract competition. But, theres
a couple of key metrics around ICE that will be hard for anyone to replicate. I mean, we were the
people that really created this concept of OTC clearing and have driven the standards for clearing
in the over-the-counter markets.
And underneath that is, you know, fundamental change in the way the markets trade now, where access
to clearing and the technology that supports clearing, becomes critically important. There are a
lot of small nuances that it took to ultimately allow that to happen for us. You know, you had to
standardize products and define their terms and conditions and define what the products looked like
digitally in terms of the string of variables that one would need to know in order to trade and
ultimately confirm and deliver some of these complex products. Were the standard bearers for that.
So we have a very strong defensible position and, as I mentioned in our prepared remarks, we
continue to work very closely with the CFTC as oversight of the OTC space is evolving. Its a
complicated space and were bringing transparency to it and thats a benefit to regulators, and so
I dont know what kind of appetite a lot of third parties have to really take on that challenge in
the way that we have because we think it ultimately will benefit us.
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Final Transcript
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
Thats helpful especially with regard to voice brokers. Does CME and NYMEX have the same sort
of challenges in trying to get into that market?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Well I would say that our over-the-counter platform is very different in the operation of it
underneath the system. And partly why weve been, as I think youre aware, moving quickly to
increase speed and performance of the system is that the over-the-counter markets require a lot of
overhead or credit support and other variables that are used in those kinds of trades that add
overhead and latency to a future system. So we came from an OTC background and used our knowledge
base and technology to create a futures trading platform.
It would be hard for someone to take a futures trading platform and sort of morph it back into an
OTC platform. Not that it couldnt be done, but its not a small undertaking. Again and since
weve driven those standards and had the desk top real estate for people that really trade these
exotic products, it definitely wont be a pass for the faint of heart.
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
Thats great. On that topic Ill just ask one more and then jump into the queue. I wonder if
you could spend just a little bit of time talking about the ICE platform more generally compared to
the other, the three other major futures platforms. Talk about maybe the main differences you see
and if there are any complementariness that would make any sort of, I guess complementary
relationship work in any given situation.
Chuck Vice - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Well Ill park the complementary part of the question for a minute. I think in just kind of
comparing and contrasting the platforms, Jeff said on one just now. We have an over-the-counter
aspect to our system and more specifically, beyond the cleared contract capability, theres really
the bilateral trading capability and managing all of the credit between us counter parties so that
they can do these individual trades. A second piece of it, the second differentiating factor, I
think, is the fact that we provide our own front end. We had to do that obviously as, when we were
only an OTC market and weve continued to maintain and enhance that front end, and now make, not
only OTC, but our futures markets available across it as well. Its very popular, it remains
popular.
Well offer the NYBOT products across that same front end and I dont have the statistics in front
of me, but a large, large share of our users and our volume continues to come through that front
end. So those are, off the top of my head, some of the differences or, I think, some of the
advantages we have vis-à-vis those other platforms.
In terms of complementary, Im not sure. Jeff.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
No. I think really this new class of that we talked about all the time, the algorithmic trader
they are looking for a very light weight system that is fast, with a lot of bandwidth, so that they
can bulk, fill a lot of simultaneous products. That is about as polar opposite a trading behavior
as you would get, then somebody who is procuring electric power for delivery the next day inside an
electric utility, using a screen and a mouse. So we the trick here is to provide a system where
both parties needs are served, and they can intermingle. And thats delicate dance that we have
been doing, we were admittedly behind dealing with these algorithmic type traders, because they
really were new to energy and new to us, and we have been playing some catch up all year.
We have finally have gotten to a point, as Chuck mentioned, where we are times are very, very
short for execution and the co-location capability sort of takes away any locational differences
that we may have, relative to anybody else in the space. And you are seeing, the early results in
our numbers, and I think, as Chuck mentioned and I mentioned, these will continue to grow.
And another new one there is, that our open interest, which is essentially positions that hedgers
are holding long dated, continues to grow, because the markets are more liquid. And it is
continuing to attract those hedgers to stay on ice, because they can get their business done here
very easily, in a system that they know with a company that they know.
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Final Transcript
Joshua Carter - Goldman Sachs Analyst
That is great. That was very helpful. Thank you.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Great.
Operator
And, your next question comes from the line of Robert Rutschow with Prudential Equity Group.
Please proceed sir.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Hi, good morning.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Good morning.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
I guess, if I could just follow up on the Wagner Patent expense. You talked about some
technology expenses in 07, but are there any other offsets to that going away that we should think
about?
Chuck Vice - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
No, there really arent.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Okay. Great.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Maybe I should mention. We licensed the Wagner Patent on a variable basis. Many other futures
exchange pay to fix the and that is why we made it look a little different than other exchanges.
But I was the first one to actually license that patent. And at that time, we were in open outcry
exchange in London, and the patent covers electronic trading of contracts from within the United
States. So it made more sense for us to buy that on a pro-contract basis than it did to pay a big
fixed fee when we did have a presence in the United States, and frankly until Tuesday, there was
not even legal certainty about our ability to have a presence in the United States.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Okay. That is helpful. In terms of the NYBOT integration, have you got any update for us in
terms of what you are looking at on a consolidated basis? From a pre-tax margin perspective?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
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Final Transcript
No, I am really not prepared to give any more guidance other than what we have put out the day
we announced the deal. As I mentioned on our prepared remarks, we do have HSR approval, which we
received this week, so it will now, for the first time since we announced the merger, allow us to
sit down with our colleagues at NYBOT, and really do some post merger planning. Prior to the HSR
review, we really had to keep hands off, so we will probably have more to say going forward.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Okay. In terms of the HSR review, can you sort of help us understand the regulators thinking
there? And how they evaluate the competitive landscape?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
I dont think we can provide much guidance there actually, you know, we did a thoughtful
application and we thought a lot about these issues ourselves prior to actually entering into the
merger. Part of choosing proper merger partners is convincing yourself that youre not going to do
any harm to competition and in fact youre going to enhance competition and enhance your customer
experience. We convinced ourselves of that prior to announcing this deal and also prior to doing
our deal back in 2001 with the former International Petroleum Exchange, now called ICEFutures.
So I think one of the reasons we came out of the process very quickly is we did a lot of homework
and a lot of thought prior to, you know, selecting the right partners.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Maybe can you give us any idea of how you define the universe of the competitive universe?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
No, I dont want to go into that but .
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Okay, fair enough.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
There are others you can ask.
Robert Rutschow - Prudential Equity Group, LLC Analyst
Okay. In terms of the OTC volumes, you know you talked about new products. Can you talk at all
about what sort of market participants youre seeing there? Are you seeing any algorithmic trading
in that particular product, and are you seeing more speculators or just some commentary there.
Chuck Vice - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. President and COO
Well, I think all of the above. I mentioned you have to be the CFTC requires you to meet
certain criteria so you have to be a professionals-only, meet certain network requirements, or you
can be a registered floor local or floor trader, hedge funds of certain amounts can participate. So
were seeing all of those as well as the commercials that form the basis of the OTC market there.
The algorithmic traders are very much in our OTC markets.
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Final Transcript
One of the challenges that we have to face and are dealing with is where these players are very
familiar and experienced in futures markets and were Ill give you one example on having a
fixed protocol, for example, for them to very standard structured industry protocol to trade on
our exchange, which we have. Weve had to take that and adapt it for OTC contracts and OCC
products, which in many cases are have many non-standard attributes to them. So thats been a
unique activity to us and I think, you know, its obviously been something new for these algo
traders as well. But I think theyre very anxious and interested in these energy markets, even
these OTC energy markets, as we offer more and more clear products that have more and more of an
ability to participate.
So were trying to do those kinds of things, like co-location, like adapting the fixed protocol for
OTC markets to make it as easy for them to do that as possible.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
And just one little follow-up. You know, the algorithmic traders tend to be momentum traders.
In other words, theyre speculating on volatility on a very short term and that its very hard for
an algorithmic trader to trade against another algorithmic trader and make money over the long
term. That tends to be a zero sum game; two speculators, one thinking its going to go up and one
thinking its going to go down.
What makes a healthy market is when we can mix commercial hedging interest with speculative traders
who are there to accept risk, even for a short period of time. And these OTC markets, which in many
cases are procurement and pure hedging markets, are just full of commercial users and its that
that is attracting the algorithmic traders, because its against those kinds of traders where they
can be paid for accepting risk and ultimately make money. So thats one of the big drivers that you
see in the growth of our OTC markets.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Mark Lane. Please limit it to one question. Thank
you.
Mark Lane - William Blair & Co. Analyst
That limitation starts now? Technology question, you mentioned that the update in the servers
in the third quarter increased processing speed by about 30%. Whats the expectation for the
upgrade in January and how low do expect to go and over what time period?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Thats a tough question, how well. Obviously, theres some laws of physics that you hit on a
minimum, but I think the upgrade in the first quarter of next year will further reduce the round
trip time. But the primary driver that I think is expanding the capacity significantly the
throughput, the DPS, those kinds of metrics as opposed dramatic reductions in round-trip time.
We expect further reduction. An estimated percentage, I couldnt tell you right now.
Mark Lane - William Blair & Co. Analyst
A lot of the other futures markets talk about moving closer to processing speeds in the cash
equities markets. Is there any reason that your business is different, that it wouldnt at least
had more, further in that direction?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Yes. It certainly will head in that direction. I think our business is, in terms of processing
orders, to the extent you do things like employing prices and other types of things in the matching
engine itself to add value, that you dont see in equities trading. In theory that is going to take
some amount of time longer. But certainly the trend is down, both, I think, in algorithms and
processing schemes, as well as hardware continues to get faster and faster and we move toward a
more distributed architecture as well.
Mark Lane - William Blair & Co. Analyst
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Final Transcript
You mentioned a number of enhancements coming. What do you see as the one or two major changes
in the next 12 months thats going to really help drive volume growth?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
I dont know that we can say much on that right now. We are working on a number of initiatives
that we are pretty excited about that are pretty far along that I suspect we will be able to
announce in the coming months, but nothing really I can comment on today.
Mark Lane - William Blair & Co. Analyst
Last with one, Jeff. Regarding the timeline that youve laid out for the acquisition, can you
also comment about your discussions with LCH and how your views may have changed or not changed
since the original announcement and how you see potential opportunities to work with that
organization?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Sure. I dont think that I have anything definitive to say. Its work in progress. I guess we
took with some note last night the Deutsche Bourse, according to the press announced that if it
were successful in acquiring your next Euronext it would keep Lights clearing business at LCH. If
that is in fact the case, and I only know it from reading press reports, it certainly strengthens
LCHs continuing role in Europe, but the details of that we only know from press statements. Its
against that kind backdrop, where there are so many moving parts with a major global exchanges, we
are trying to be innovative and thoughtful about how we can position ourselves with clearing to
really differentiate ourselves and provide value.
So I dont have anything to say right now and I mention the Deutsche Bourses statement simply as
this is really unfolding in real-time. We do view the clearinghouse as a major strategic asset. We
do think particularly weve been so successful in our OTC initiatives and we have a lot of ideas
that we think we can use a captive clearinghouse to continue to promote.
Mark Lane - William Blair & Co. Analyst
Okay, good enough. Thank you.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Thank you.
Operator
Your final question comes from the line of Edward Ditmire with Fox-Pitt Kelton. Please limit
to one question.
Edward Ditmire - Fox-Pitt Kelton Analyst
Good morning guys.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Good morning.
Edward Ditmire - Fox-Pitt Kelton Analyst
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Final Transcript
You guys have obviously, you know, gained a lot of market share in the keystone product in
energy markets with crude oil future. Can you talk about strategy to gain market share in other
large markets like gasoline, heating oil, and perhaps even natural gas futures?
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
I dont want to give you any kind of a road map but certain its something to protect our
competitive position. But you know, in the United States, interestingly enough, when you go talk to
funds and other people that are new to energy and you say, you know, you have any opportunity to
trade energy on ICE, the immediate thought is that youre talking about WTI crude oil. And so part
of the reason that is was important for us to launch that contract is that it is the benchmark
bellwether contract that opens the door for you to get in and talk to other players. Youve seen
weve done well because we had a liquid and active Brent crude oil futures contract that is really
the dominant contract in Europe and increasingly in Asia.
So melding that all together, you know, created this great suite, and its those two acting
those two contracts acting together that are our strength. We trade gas/oil, which is European
heating oil. Our gas-oil is growing against that crude oil growth. So its that leveraged effect,
the trickle down effect, if you will, linking these all together, these markets all together,
because they all are energy and they tend to, at least at a high level, move in concert with one
another and provide interesting opportunities for algo traders and other people that are looking to
hedge, but to not take direct exposure but do it through a spread or some kind of a swap contract.
So we have a pretty good understanding of how those markets all work. Weve grown up in them for
the last few years, and its really, you know, making sure that we have a strong WTI benchmark
before you can penetrate most of the other North American-oriented energy commodities, and I think
were there, you know. I think were feeling very good about what weve been able to build over
just a period of probably now, I dont know what it is, six, seven, eight months. Along the way I
think youll see continued growth as we go after those other products and use our unique position
to do that.
Edward Ditmire - Fox-Pitt Kelton Analyst
Okay, thank you.
Jeff Sprecher - IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. Chairman, CEO
Well, thank you everybody, appreciate it. We tried to get done by 9:15. We ran a little long
but we appreciate your support and well look forward to talking to you again very soon.
Operator
Thank you for your participation in todays conference. This concludes the presentation. You
may now disconnect and have a great day.
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Final Transcript
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