COOPER TIRE & rUBBER COMPANY 8-K
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): March 18, 2008
COOPER TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)
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Delaware
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1-04329
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34-4297750 |
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(State or Other Jurisdiction
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(Commission
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(IRS Employer |
of Incorporation)
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File Number)
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Identification No.) |
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701 Lima Avenue, Findlay, Ohio
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45840 |
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(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
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(Zip Code) |
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Registrants telephone number, including area code: |
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(419) 423-1321 |
Not Applicable
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy
the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General
Instruction A.2.):
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Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
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Item 7.01. |
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Regulation FD Disclosure. |
On March 18, 2008, the management team of Cooper Tire & Rubber Company, a Delaware corporation
(the Company), made the following slideshow presentation during a meeting for investors and
analysts.
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains what the Company believes are forward-looking statements, as that term
is defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, regarding projections,
expectations or matters that the Company anticipates may happen with respect to the future
performance of the industries in which the Company operates, the economies of the United States and
other countries, or the performance of the Company itself, which involve uncertainty and risk.
Such forward-looking statements are generally, though not always, preceded by words such as
anticipates, expects, believes, projects, intends, plans, estimates, and similar
terms that connote a view to the future and are not merely recitations of historical fact. Such
statements are made solely on the basis of the Companys current views and perceptions of future
events, and there can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be true.
It is possible that actual results may differ materially from those projections or expectations due
to a variety of factors, including but not limited to:
changes in economic and business conditions in the world, especially the continuation of the
global tensions and risks of further terrorist incidents that currently exist;
increased competitive activity, including the inability to obtain and maintain price increases
to offset higher production or material costs;
the failure to achieve expected sales levels;
consolidation among the Companys competitors and customers;
technology advancements;
fluctuations in raw material and energy prices, including those of steel, crude petroleum and
natural gas and the unavailability of such raw materials or energy sources;
changes in interest and foreign exchange rates;
increases in pension expense resulting from investment performance of the Companys pension
plan assets and changes in discount rate, salary increase rate, and expected return on plan assets
assumptions;
government regulatory initiatives, including the proposed and final regulations under the TREAD
Act;
changes in the Companys customer relationships, including loss of particular business for
competitive or other reasons;
the impact of labor problems, including a strike brought against the Company or against one or
more of its large customers;
litigation brought against the Company;
an adverse change in the Companys credit ratings, which could increase its borrowing costs
and/or hamper its access to the credit markets;
the inability of the Company to execute the cost reduction/Asian strategies;
the failure of the Companys suppliers to timely deliver products in accordance with contract
specifications;
the impact of reductions in the insurance program covering the principal risks to the Company,
and other unanticipated events and conditions;
the failure of the Company to achieve the full cost reduction and profit improvement targets as
set forth in a presentation made by senior management and filed on Forms 8-K on September 7, 2006,
October 31, 2006, April 5, 2007, January 16, 2008 and February 28, 2008; and
the inability or failure of the Company to implement the strategic plan.
It is not possible to foresee or identify all such factors. Any forward-looking statements in this
presentation are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company in light of its
experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments
and other factors it believes are appropriate in the circumstances.
Prospective investors are cautioned that any such statements are not a guarantee of future
performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected.
The Company makes no commitment to update any forward-looking statement included herein or to
disclose any facts, events or circumstances that may affect the accuracy of any forward-looking
statement.
Further information covering issues that could materially affect financial performance is contained
in the Companys periodic filings with the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Cooper Tire & Rubber Company
Morgan Stanley
Global Automotive Conference
New York, NY
March 18, 2008
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Good
Afternoon my name is Roy Armes, and I serve as Cooper Tire
& Rubber Companys Chairman and
Chief Executive Officer.
With me
today are Phil Weaver, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and Curtis Schneekloth,
who serves as our Director of Investor Relations.
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Safe Harbor Statement
This presentation contains strategic goals and other
forward-looking statements related to future financial
results and business operations for Cooper Tire &
Rubber Company. Actual results may differ
materially from the goals and from current
management forecasts and projections as a result of
factors over which the Company has no control.
Information on these risk factors and additional
information on forward-looking statements are
included in the Company's reports on file with the
Securities and Exchange Commission and are set
forth in the printed copies of this presentation on the
last slide.
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This is the standard Safe Harbor comment that is attached to any of our presentations and
regards Forward-Looking Statements as defined by the SEC.
As future results may differ materially from our current projections, I encourage you to read our
SEC filings for more information about our Company and its risk factors.
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Contents
2007 Highlights
Strategic Plan Summary
Capital Allocation Process
Questions and Answers
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Today I will briefly highlight what occurred in 2007 for the Company. I will discuss the
Strategic Plan that was presented in February, and the capital allocation process we highlighted
during that presentation.
After our prepared remarks we will answer questions. There is more information regarding Coopers
history on our website Coopertire.com. You should also feel free to contact Curtis if you have
questions after the presentation.
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2007 Highlights
Record Sales $ 2.9 Billion
13.9 % increase over 2006
Operating Profit $ 134 Million
$ 132 million improvement over 2006 before
restructuring and impairment
Net Income $ 120 Million
$ 198 million improvement over 2006
Repurchased
$ 81 million of Debt
$ 46 million of Cooper's Shares
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The results for 2007 were a dramatic improvement over 2006.
We set a sales record in 2007 of $2.9 billion. This was an increase of $357 million, or 13.9
percent, over 2006. This helped drive our operating profit to $134 million, an improvement of $132
million, when you excluded the impact of restructuring and impairments in 2006. Our net income
also improved by $198 million to $120 million for the year.
During the year we began to exercise debt and share repurchases that were authorized by the Board
of Directors. These repurchases totaled about $127 million.
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2007 Highlights
Successes
Delivered $100 million of cost savings and
profit improvement initiatives
Converted Texarkana
Launched the CS4 line
Sold Oliver operations
Signed Mexico Joint Venture agreement
Ramped up Cooper Kenda Tire (China)
Developed Strategic Plan
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Some of the events that drove the improvement were a part of the soft restructuring program
announced in the third quarter of 2006. You may recall we promised to deliver $100 million of cost
savings and profit improvement initiatives as a part of that program. We were successful in doing
that. This included the conversion of our Texarkana facility into a flex plant that will help us
align with market needs. This conversion was done at a cost below our initial estimates. We had
one of our most successful product launches ever when we rolled out the CS4 line. We sold our
Oliver truck tire retreading operations, so that we can focus even more on the core business of
manufacturing tires. A fifty-fifty joint venture was signed with a tire distributor in Mexico that
will help us in expanding our presence in that market. Our Cooper Kenda Tire greenfield joint
venture in China continued to successfully ramp up. In 2007, we completed a strategic planning
process for Cooper. This process lasted almost nine months and included input from every level of
the organization. The output is a plan and direction for Cooper to follow over the next three to
five
years. Going through this process has focused and energized our employees. As a part of this
process, we reviewed the global tire industry and all the elements that could impact our business
over the next few years. I would like to share a few of the key data points from that work with
you. This will help in framing our strategic direction. The full presentation is available on our
website.
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Global Supply and Demand
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Demand 915.8666508 930.1358492 976.0387459 1017.364147 1012.699259 1050.055144 1085.904511 1144.883032 1183.864661 1215.545087 1255.30869 1303.814132 1359.334738 1413.508242 1469.897615 1524.358474
Supply 944.9246199 979.3892141 1008.81329 1057.194251 1028.018805 1065.687281 1108.003924 1177.5636 1219.565006 1240.387952 1268.610314 1319.565333 1376.236596 1428.341566 1482.038037 1536.424453
Supply / Demand appears balanced in the future
Source: LMC World Tire Forecast Service, 2007
Base = Q1, 2001
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One of the key issues we looked at during the strategic planning process was whether supply
and demand would be balanced on a global basis. This slide represents the projected supply/demand
balance over the next few years. It appears that with all of the announcements of added capacity
and all of the announcements of plant closures, we can continue to expect a reasonable balance
between supply and demand. There may be occasional regional or short-lived imbalances, but we
believe the market will correct to address any imbalances. Of course, the growth of supply and
demand varies by region. This estimate was based on several factors and wasnt a simple straight
lining of 2007 growth. Balanced supply and demand are definitely a plus for the tire industry.
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Cost Breakdown
Labor 20-30%
Other 15-30%
Raw Materials 50-55%
Raw Material Breakdown % of RM
Natural Rubber 20-25%
Synthetic Rubbers 25-30%
Carbon Black 10-15%
Reinforcing Fabrics 10-15%
Steel 10-15%
Other Raw Materials 10-15%
Input
% of CoGS
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Another significant factor impacting the tire industry is the increase weve seen in input costs
the last few years.
As a proxy
for the industry, Ive provided our cost structure. It has three main components: Raw
Materials, Labor, and Other Costs.
Raw
Material components drive around 50-55% of our total costs. The next slide details what has
happened with these costs since 2002. Some of these materials are oil derivatives and can be
affected over the long term by increases in oil prices. Typically there is a delay between moves
in the price of oil and the impact on our pricing. This is due to a separate supply/demand cycle
for those products and the way we purchase raw materials. A strength of the industry over the last
few years has been the ability to pass on these increases.
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Raw Material Cost History
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
89.6 91.3 95.2 96.5 98.8 104.2 101.3 108 110.5 112.7 117.4 121 129.8 137.4 139.1 147 150.5 155.5 165.4 162.0666667 154.7666667 158.9333333 162.5 164.8
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As you can see in this cost index chart, raw material price increases have been staggering.
The market in the past was able to absorb these raw material increases, even if at times there has
been a lag between the raw material and price increases.
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Two Dimensions Necessary to Win
Clear winners
Winners at
value end
of market
Clear losers
Long term losers?
product / brand
advantage
disappears
Low
High
Low
High
Product and service differentiation
Winning product portfolio
Brand strength
Market positions/distribution profile
Premium customer service
Operational
Effectiveness
Scale
Access to low-
cost/high-quality
supply
Cost effective
operations
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Throughout the strategic planning process we looked for what would be the characteristics of
the winning companies. To that extent, we mapped Cooper and all of the competition on two traits.
The first is operational effectiveness or the cost to manufacture tires. The second is product and
service differentiation. This includes the value of the brand, customer service and product
portfolio. We believe the winners will have to establish lasting competitive advantages in these
two areas. The strategic plan, when executed, will further position Cooper as a clear winner.
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Cooper's Strengths
Global Footprint
Product and Brand Portfolio
Replacement Market Focus
Distribution Network
Significant U.S. Market Share
Customer Relationships and Focus
Customer Service and Support
Speed to Market
Financial Resources
Manufacturing and Market Knowledge
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Coopers strengths provide a firm foundation for the future. Our footprint extends around the
globe. In addition to the companys longtime manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and England, and
our marketing and distribution activities
throughout the U.S. and Europe, we have established footholds for both manufacturing and sales in
China and Mexico. Coopers wide-ranging product and brand portfolio offers industry-leading
coverage, making us a favorite with customers. Our focus on the replacement market allows us to
concentrate on meeting dealer and consumer needs. The companys extensive distribution network
blankets not only the U.S., Canada and Europe, but with the addition of our Chinese and Mexican
joint ventures, reaches well into Asia and South America. We enjoy a significant share of the U.S.
market. Marketing ourselves as the easiest tire company to do business with, Cooper boasts
longstanding dealer relationships and a customer-service focus thats second to none. Our customer
service and support, as well as consistently high fill rates, rank at or near the top in every
dealer survey. Our speed to market in launching new products is a consistent strength. Our
financial position is solid, and we have resources to invest in projects that provide excellent
returns to shareholders. Coopers employees know tires. That knowledge is priceless.
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Strategic Plan Value Creation Levers
GOAL
Shareholder
Value Creation
Profitability
7 - 8 %
Operating Profit
as % of Net Sales
Growth
6 - 7% CAGR
Next Level Targets
Organizational Development
Tools, People & Structure, Culture
Global Cost Structure
Sourcing and LCC Manufacturing
35 - 45% of manufacturing in LCC
Manufacturing Cost Reductions
10 - 15% of addressable cost base
Targeted Profitable Growth
NA > 6% CAGR
International > 17% CAGR
Value Creation Levers
We will build on strengths and...
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The development of the Strategic Plan was not limited to identifying our strengths. We also
identified value creation levers that would drive the goal of increasing shareholder value. These
levers build off our existing strengths.
The first lever deals with improving our global cost structure. We will do this by increasing the
amount of manufacturing we have in low-cost countries. We are around 16 to 18% today and will more
than double this in the next few years. We are also tackling the costs in our existing
manufacturing base. This will be accomplished by the use of Six Sigma and LEAN principles, the
reduction of complexity, and the automation of certain processes. We also have opportunities to
further reduce costs in our distribution network.
The second major lever is in the area of Targeted Profitable Growth. Our strategic plan calls for
us to employ different tactics for each region to obtain this. The overall Company Compounded
Annual Growth Rate, or CAGR, over the next few years as a result of this will be in the 6 to 7%
range.
Pulling these levers will require us to invest in the development of parts of our organization.
This is another area where we will leverage the strengths we have in developing a world class
organization capable of delivering better than average shareholder returns.
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Strategic Plan Execution
Establishment of Project Management Office (PMO)
Workstreams Defined
Project charters developed to support plan targets
Monitor Metrics and Milestones
Address barriers, resource needs as they develop
Insure execution to plan
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To support implementation of the strategic plan, we have developed a management system that
includes establishing a Project Management Office.
The PMO was established to assure strategic plan execution by monitoring key metrics and milestones
as we progress through the implementation schedule. This involves identifying and relieving
resource constraints plus addressing any barriers that are in the way of reaching targets. We have
divided the plan into defined workstreams and assigned owners for each who will be responsible for
implementing different parts of the plan. Within each workstream there are detailed
projects that will be executed. The PMO will monitor the pace of these projects on an on-going
basis and assure that expected results are delivered.
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Sourcing and LCC Manufacturing
Objectives
35 - 45 % of Manufacturing in LCC
Meet Demand
Lower Global Cost Structure
Reduce Complexity
Programs to achieve
Cooper Kenda Tire (China)
Cooper Chengshan Tire (China)
Mexico
Other
Opportunities are global in nature.
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One of the key components of our plan is to increase our manufacturing in low cost countries.
This will be one element in reducing our global cost structure.
Our
objective in the next few years is to manufacture 35 - 45% of our tires in lower cost
countries while maintaining Cooper quality standards. In 2007, that rate was about 16 to 18%. In
implementing this, we are going to insure that we source enough tires to meet demand, lower our
cost structure, and create opportunities to reduce complexity. Our plan to achieve these
objectives involves the ramp up at Cooper Kenda Tire, the expansions at Cooper Chengshan Tire, the
outsourcing agreement with Mexico, and possibly other opportunities that we are currently
analyzing.
Of course these types of opportunities are global in nature and we have to determine the effects of
these decisions on the entire Company.
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Cooper Capacity High and Low Cost
Cost gap has narrowed, but there is still a
10 - 15% advantage to manufacturing in a
LCC and shipping to a HCC
High Cost Low Cost
High Cost 0.85 0.15
High Cost 82%
Albany
Findlay
Melksham
Texarkana
Tupelo
Low Cost 18%
Off-take
Kenda - China
Occidente - Mexico
Joint Venture
CCT - China
CKT - China
HCC
LCC
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As I previously mentioned, we currently have about 16 to 18% of our manufacturing capacity in
low-cost countries. These operations can typically make and ship a tire to a high-cost region for
between 10 to 15% lower than manufacturing in the high-cost region. The cost gap has narrowed over
the last few years as a result of several factors, and it can vary based on circumstances, but its
still an advantage. Our goal is to improve our total Company cost structure as we add more
low-cost supply. The addition of this low cost supply also correlates to regions of the world that
are expected to have the highest growth rates.
Investing in low-cost/high-quality supply will also add flexibility to the supply chain.
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Manufacturing Cost Reductions
Objectives
10 - 15 % reduction in addressable cost base
Continue with high quality manufacturing
Programs to achieve
Process Efficiency Improvements
Complexity Reduction and Management
Automation
Distribution
Opportunities are global in nature.
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The other key to improving our global cost structure is to reduce the costs in our existing
facilities.
The immediate objective of these manufacturing cost reductions is to drive dramatic cost
improvement and, therefore, improve competitiveness by focusing on 4 key areas: process efficiency
improvements, complexity reduction and management, automation and distribution.
Although many of these initiatives will be started in the States, we will expand the focus to
include our global partners, thereby multiplying the benefits across the organization.
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Manufacturing Cost Reduction
Programs and Benefits
Complexity
Reduce product complexity
Reduce process complexity
Increase capacity to handle
complexity
Process
efficiency
improvements
Automation
Capacity increases
Apply Six Sigma and Lean
methodology
Replace manual processes
Increase in capacity due
to reduction in "non-
scheduled" or "non-
productive" time
Distribution
Optimize labor costs
Reduce energy and utilities spending
Cost savings
Savings primarily through
direct labor and scrap
reduction
Programs
Drive two major benefits
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Within the four manufacturing cost reduction programs, there are specific initiatives we have
identified. The end result of all of this is to drive down costs while maintaining excellent
quality. The other benefit is that we will see capacity increases without having to invest
additional capital.
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Manufacturing Cost Reduction Steps
Complexity
Process
Efficiency
Improvements
Automation
Distribution
Black Belt Deployment
Phase out low-volume,
highly complex
products
Single source
Cured tire handling
NA - Leveraging
Europe - 3PL
Asia - Consolidation
12%
Black Belt Deployment
Optimize sourcing
Optimize batch sizes
Green tire handling
Material handling
NA Warehouse
consolidation
28%
Six Sigma Projects
Continue product
moves to optimize
sourcing
Tire building semi-
automation
Ongoing Process
Improvements
60%
% of Total Savings
2008
2009
2010
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As mentioned earlier, we have developed specific plans and projects that will allow us to
achieve the improvements we believe necessary. In 2008 we are staging certain projects that we
will implement in 2009. We will continue with those projects in 2010, as well as expanding the
projects across the organization. The associated cost savings potential is significant. We have
considered and included the impact in the operating profit margins included within
the metrics that you will find at the end of this presentation. The percentage at the bottom of
this slide indicates the percent of the total targeted savings that we expect to achieve in each
year from these manufacturing activities.
We believe that all of the initiatives Ive discussed are achievable and represent a significant
impact on the global cost structure of Cooper. There will be challenges associated to bringing all
of this to reality, but we are confident we can overcome the hurdles.
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Targeted Profitable Growth
Objectives
Total Company = 6 to 7% CAGR
Global Net Sales = $3.6 billion
Programs to achieve
North America - Channel Alignment
Asia - Grow TBR and PCR
Europe - Focused on strengths in specific products and
markets
Opportunities are global in nature.
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The second value creation lever will allow us to continue with profitable growth at Cooper.
Through implementation of the programs we have identified, we will be able to deliver a Compounded
Annual Growth Rate of between 6 and 7% over the next few years. This is similar to the growth
rates weve had in previous years. These programs will also align us with the regions and channels
that we believe will experience the greatest growth opportunities in years to come.
Each region has a different approach that is best suited to Coopers position and that specific
markets needs.
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NA Strategy by Channel
Purchase
Drivers
and
Needs
Margin
Product
positioning
Logistics
excellence
Margin
Fill Rates
Logistics
excellence
Portfolio
Fill rates
Inventory
mgmt
Fill rates
Margins
Degree of
exclusivity
National
Retailers
Regional
Retailers
Independents
Wholesale
Grow in all Channels, Growth not equal in all channels
Continue Support of Independent Dealers
Align organization and strategy to each channels needs
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For
example, in North America, we will align our products and programs to meet the individual
channels specific needs. Our strategy builds on the strengths we have while
positioning ourselves to align the organization for future opportunities. To do this, we are
using a different focus for each of the individual channels. This is a significant change from the
way we conducted business in the past when we had more of a one size fits all mentality in
serving the different channels. As you can see, each channel has a different driver. Some are
motivated by service and fill rates, while others are primarily interested in margins.
Our approach in the future will be tailored to meeting the needs of each channel, and we believe
this should allow us to grow in all channels. We have already developed specific plans for each of
these channels, but will not publicize the specifics as they are considered confidential
information and a strategic advantage. Growth rates will not be equal in each channel. We expect
to continue with a high level of penetration in the Independent channel. We will also continue with
our presence in private label. We expect this to provide a CAGR in North America of around 6%. A
significant portion of that is in the Cooper brand.
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Asia Growth - Summary
Truck and Bus Radial (TBR)
Focus TBR on Tier 2 and 3 Products
Continue to develop retail sales
Focused growth in fleet sales
Passenger Car Radial (PCR)
Build in areas with greatest car parks (east coast)
Shift production used for export sales to domestic
Elevate the brand
Continue to develop retail sales
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In Asia weve decided to pursue growth in both Truck and Bus Radial and Passenger Car Radial
segments. We have specific strategies developed to support each channels growth. It includes
focusing on Tier 2 and 3 products in the TBR market and tailoring our approach to the needs of the
distribution channels. In the PCR market, well grow where the largest car parks exist and continue
to develop a retail sales presence.
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Asia Growth Timeline
PCR
TBR
2 %
5 %
< 1 %
6 %
8 %
10 %
2007
2010
2015
Market Share
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In implementing our plans in China, we have
taken a long term approach that will build the best foundation for continued growth and success.
We are aware of the challenges this presents and the significant upside that is in the market that
can be realized if we successfully implement our plans. To that
extent, we have developed a time-line that is realistic. We will position our brands and distribution while aligning production to
meet the needs of our customers.
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European Benefits
Global leader in technology adoption
Image for participation
Second largest vehicle market in the
world
Helps diversify market and supply base
Strategic Option = Focused Growth
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As we reviewed the strategic options in Europe, we quickly realized there continue to be
benefits from participating in what is the second largest tire market in the world. The European
market is typically the first place new technologies are adopted and participation there can help a
company gain insight into future trends. We have chosen a more focused strategy going forward
because it optimizes our profit model and aligns our European business with Coopers global goals.
This focused growth option means we will target specific products and channels leveraging our
strengths where we can be winners in the marketplace.
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Template
Segment
Invest for long-
term share position
Place selected bets
Low
High
Cooper starting position
Low
High
Market attractiveness
Weak market share
Better market share
Optimize for profit
with minimal
resources
Manage for
volume and profit
Each European Market is Reviewed
Low growth
market
High growth
market
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Europe is not a single market, but several different markets that have individual needs. For
example, the Alpine nations have specific requirements for their winter tires that you wouldnt
need in the southern countries. We assessed the needs of each region and Coopers position within
each region. Based on this, we selectively invest in the markets and products
that make the most sense.
Based on what the goal is, we can deploy different tactics to each market. The end result is that
we will be focused on growing profitably in specific regions and products.
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Supporting the Strategic Plan
Sourcing and
LCC
Manufacturing
Manufacturing
Cost
Reductions
Tools
People &
Structure
Culture
IT
Business Processes
Performance Mgmt
Value Creation Levers
Enabler
Targeted
Profitable
Growth
Talent Management
Succession Planning
Org Structure
Change Management
The Cooper Way
Greater Communication
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To support our ability to pull the value creation levers we will need to invest in our
organizational capabilities. There are many companies that are very good at developing strategic
plans. The best companies actually assess what investments are needed to achieve the goals that
are set out. Our ability to deliver these goals will rely on Coopers employees to perform and
execute.
Weve broken the organizational capabilities down into the areas of tools, people and structure,
and culture.
Across the top you can see the value creation levers that were talked about earlier in the
presentation. In order to achieve these, we will need to have the appropriate tools, people, and
culture to support each of the initiatives.
In regards to the tools needed to support the initiatives, we are undergoing a process to review
our IT systems. This process is on-going and is indicating that we may need to invest in
additional resources to optimize these systems. This could come in the form of a more integrated
system. If we do decide to implement an ERP system, it could provide several benefits, including
improved global visibility and the ability to react to changes in the market even quicker. We are
working on aligning our business processes so that they support a global organization.
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Key Performance Metrics
Metric 2007 Next Level
ROIC 6.8% 9 - 10%
Operating Profit as % of Net Sales 4.6% 7 - 8%
Net Debt to Capital Ratio 20% 35 - 40%
SG&A as % of Net Sales 6% 6%
Global House Brand as % of Sales 62% 67%
LCC Manufacturing 18% 35 - 45%
Global Net Sales (6 - 7% CAGR) $2.9 Billion > $3.6 Billion
Global Unit Sales 49.7 Million > 60.9 Million
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By
delivering on the strategic plan, we believe it will provide above average shareholder
returns. The metrics on this slide
provide a picture of where we expect to be in the future. On this slide, the term Next Level
means in the next five year time horizon, although we are not ruling out that we can meet these
goals earlier.
As a result of effectively implementing the plan we identified today, we believe ROIC should
improve to the high single digits.
Operating profit as a percentage of sales will improve by almost
50% and we will continue to profitably grow. Net debt to capital ratio will be in the 35 to 40%
range which should help optimize our risk levels and our weighted average cost of capital. SG&A
will remain around 6% of net sales.
House brands as a percentage of global sales will increase to almost two thirds of our total sales.
We will continue to increase the level of manufacturing in low cost countries to the range of 35
45% of total manufacturing. As we grow with the 6% or higher CAGR, we will see net sales increase
along with unit sales. But our priority will be to build a sustainable, competitive product
footprint to support our business, longer term.
These metrics are exciting and represent a healthy and profitable Company that will deliver a fair
return to all of its stakeholders.
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Capital Allocation Priorities
- Determines priorities to fund
- Consider alternate net present values
Operations including minimum pension funding,
maintenance capex levels, and seasonal working
capital requirements.
Dividends
Strategic Investments (Profitable Growth, Cost
reductions, additional Pension funding)
Optimize WACC, long term capital structure; and
improve credit ratings.
Opportunistic capital structure changes
Additional shareholder friendly activities
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In the final part of the presentation today Id like to discuss the process we typically use
to determine how we expend cash generated. We generally follow the priorities listed on this slide
and use calculations including relative net present values of various options to determine the
optimal answer. These options include funding operations, paying dividends, making profitable
investments, and looking at how to
best finance these options.
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Guidelines
Target Inventory Turnover = 8x
Net debt to capital ratio in the range of 35 - 40%.
CAPEX
Mature Markets - at or below depreciation, except
where there are quick payback/high return
opportunities
Developing Markets - Strategic investments will be
made above depreciation
At least 30% of CAPEX needs to result in cost
improvements
Project payback < two years and pretax ROIC > 20%
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We have several targets that help us in guiding our decisions. In terms of working capital,
we believe that inventory levels to support turnover of around 8 times is appropriate. There is
seasonality in the business so the rate can change somewhat as we progress through the year.
Our optimal net debt to capital ratio is in the range of 35 to 40%. We can go outside of this
boundary under normal business conditions if the appropriate scenario presents itself. However,
under 30% and we lose the benefits of the tax shield on interest; and over 50%, may be too
aggressive for our business. We expect less leverage at the parent Company level and more within
our joint ventures in the future.
Our expenditures on Capex vary by region. We typically expect to spend less than depreciation in
mature markets unless there are strategic, high return projects with a quick payback. In
developing markets, well spend at a level greater than depreciation as we invest for growth and
expansion. We work towards having at least 30% of what we approve for capital expenditures go
towards projects that result in cost improvements. We also look for projects that have a less than
two-year payback and pretax ROIC of more than 20%.
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Guidelines Cont'd.
Liquidity should be sufficient to weather a
downturn in demand.
Use of Excess Cash
Analysis of "best use and greatest returns performed"
Investments for growth
Investments for cost reductions
Debt pay down
Share repurchase
Special dividends
Mergers and Acquisitions
No specific plans at the current time
All opportunities are analyzed for organizational
impact and returns to shareholders.
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We also want to insure that we have enough liquidity to weather any economic downturns.
If we are in a position where the Company has sufficiently funded our operations and the other
items considered on the previous slide, then we will analyze the other possible uses for the cash.
Preference is given to profitable projects to
fund growth or cost reductions. The options analyzed also include debt pay down, share
repurchases, and special dividends. As we review these options, the goal is to find the best
combination of options for the stakeholders of the Company based on market conditions.
We have generated a larger than normal amount of cash. We have no plans for major acquisitions or
mergers with other companies. Beyond that we will consider the options listed on this slide.
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Uses of Cash
Excludes cash generated from operations.
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This slide provides information about how we may use some of the cash. At the top is the
expected depreciation for 2008 to 2010 as a reference point. Below that are estimated ranges for
uses of cash over next three years. These include rebuilding our inventory in 2008, working
capital needs associated with planned growth, Capex, and dividends. At the bottom left youll find
available funds at December 31, 2007 including the value of the Kumho investment. The final item
shows other potential uses of cash between 2008 and 2010. These include completing the outstanding
authorizations of debt and share repurchases. This schedule does NOT contain any amounts related
to the cash generated from operations. Accordingly, it also does not include any additional
shareholder friendly actions.
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Current Trends
North American Industry Shipments
Down slightly through February
Raw Materials
Current Cooper outlook + 8 to 12 %
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Before we turn to your questions, I will spend a moment on the trends we have seen so far in
2008. The North American tire industry is experiencing sales at a rate less than originally
projected by the RMA. We have seen anecdotal evidence of this at our customers as well. Examples
of this are people replacing less than four tires, deciding to repair versus buy, or shifting to a
lower price point rather than premium tires. As a result, our North American sales have also
been below our expectations for the first two months and signs of softness continue to be present
in the marketplace. Growth continues in our International segment and we expect volumes to increase
as capacity is added in China at both of our facilities.
Raw Material costs have also spiked higher than we recently anticipated. Cooper uses LIFO to
account for inventory. In periods of rising prices, our profits are impacted quicker than companies
who use the FIFO method of valuing inventories. As you may have
noticed, oil on Friday was trading
around $109 a barrel, an amount much higher than we had planned. About 2/3rds of our raw material
costs are derived from petroleum, so raw materials are increasing at a faster rate than anticipated.
We also have seen natural rubber prices trading at higher than expected rates, with recent spot
prices being almost 25% higher than we originally forecast for 2008. Lastly, steel rod prices
appear to be experiencing upward pricing pressure as well.
We believe we can manage effectively through an economic downturn to minimize the impact on our
profitability and cash flows while continuing to implement savings and sourcing projects required
to reposition the cost structure of the company longer term. We have been successfully rebuilding
our inventory in North America, which has helped to improve on our industry leading fill rates. We
will continue to monitor the raw materials pricing and will take action as appropriate. We have
also recently initiated other cost savings or deferral actions to manage through this period.
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Thanks for your time today. Wed now like to open up for your questions.
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Additional Safe Harbor Info
It is possible that actual results may differ materially from those projections or expectations due to a variety of factors,
including but not limited to:
changes in economic and business conditions in the world, especially the continuation of the global tensions and
risks of further terrorist incidents that currently exist;
increased competitive activity, including the inability to obtain and maintain price increases to offset higher
production or material costs;
the failure to achieve expected sales levels;
consolidation among the Company's competitors and customers;
technology advancements;
fluctuations in raw material and energy prices, including those of steel, crude petroleum and natural gas and the
unavailability of such raw materials or energy sources;
changes in interest and foreign exchange rates;
increases in pension expense resulting from investment performance of the Company's pension plan assets and
changes in discount rate, salary increase rate, and expected return on plan assets assumptions;
government regulatory initiatives, including the proposed and final regulations under the TREAD Act;
changes in the Company's customer relationships, including loss of particular business for competitive or other
reasons;
the impact of labor problems, including a strike brought against the Company or against one or more of its large
customers;
litigation brought against the Company;
an adverse change in the Company's credit ratings, which could increase its borrowing costs and/or hamper its
access to the credit markets;
the inability of the Company to execute its cost reduction/Asian strategies;
the failure of the Company's suppliers to timely deliver products in accordance with contract specifications;
the impact of reductions in the insurance program covering the principal risks to the Company, and other
unanticipated events and conditions
the failure of the Company to achieve the full cost reduction and profit improvement targets set forth in
presentations made by senior management and filed on Forms 8-K on September 7, 2006, October 31, 2006, April
5, 2007, January 16, 2008 and February 28, 2008;
inability or failure to implement the Company's strategic plan
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly
caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
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COOPER TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
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By: |
/s/ Jack Jay McCracken
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Name: |
Jack Jay McCracken |
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Date: March 18, 2008 |
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Title: |
Assistant Secretary |
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