RegimeSignal puts the year-end close in a defined band at 70% coverage — and the date it is scored.

Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC published a year-end 2026 close range for the S&P 500 of 7,892 to 8,542 and rates the index Bull Strengthening.

The range is drawn from prior years whose market state matched today’s; across those years the close landed inside a comparable band roughly 70% of the time — a distribution, not a point forecast, and deliberately wide.

Seventeen years matched, drawn from the 1928–2025 record, scored August 4 to December 31 close. The range is fixed at publication and never re-based, so it can be marked right or wrong on December 31. Most forecasters revise theirs as the year goes.

RegimeSignal’s Composite Market Score reads 73.0, in its OFFENSE band — a single 0–100 barometer of the market environment, including the model’s own signals, corporate health, the economy, valuation and other risks. It is one of eight live monitors, with macro, technicals, earnings, velocity, market signals, market structure and HybridBrain™ exogenous risk.

Separately, four validated signals predict the full S&P 500 cycle — pullback, correction, bear market and recovery — averaging approximately 84% out-of-sample precision in historical testing. Neither the year-end range nor the composite is one of those four, covered by that validation, or carries a published accuracy rate.

“A range you can score beats a number you can’t,” said Kip Lytel, CFA, founder of Cronus Market Intelligence. “We publish the band, the coverage rate and the date it is scored. In January anyone can check whether we were right.”

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About Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC

Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC (cronusmarketintelligencellc.com) is a Delaware limited liability company and the developer of RegimeSignal™, a market-prediction data-analytics software platform for the S&P 500. Cronus is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer; RegimeSignal™ is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. RegimeSignal™ and HybridBrain™ are trademarks pending.

Results reflect historical walk-forward out-of-sample testing and are hypothetical; past results do not guarantee future results. The year-end range is not a price target and rests on a small sample. See full disclosures at regimesignalai.com/disclosures.

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260818194223/en/

A market call anyone can check. A date it gets scored. Most forecasters offer neither.