2 Reasons to Like XYL (and 1 Not So Much)

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XYL Cover Image

Over the past six months, Xylem’s stock price fell to $102.38. Shareholders have lost 16.4% of their capital, which is disappointing considering the S&P 500 has climbed by 16.6%. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Following the pullback, is now a good time to buy XYL? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does XYL Stock Spark Debate?

Formed through a spinoff, Xylem (NYSE: XYL) manufactures and services engineered products across a wide variety of applications primarily in the water sector.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Skyrocketing Revenue Shows Strong Momentum

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Luckily, Xylem’s sales grew at an impressive 11.9% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Xylem Quarterly Revenue

2. Increasing Free Cash Flow Margin Juices Financials

Free cash flow isn’t a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it’s telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

As you can see below, Xylem’s margin expanded by 7.8 percentage points over the last five years. This is encouraging, and we can see it became a less capital-intensive business because its free cash flow profitability rose more than its operating profitability. Xylem’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 10.5%.

Xylem Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

One Reason to Be Careful:

Slow Organic Growth Suggests Waning Demand In Core Business

In addition to reported revenue, organic revenue is a useful data point for analyzing Water Infrastructure companies. This metric gives visibility into Xylem’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.

Over the last two years, Xylem’s organic revenue averaged 4.4% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy, which can add an extra layer of complexity to its operations. Xylem Organic Revenue Growth

Final Judgment

Xylem’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. With the recent decline, the stock trades at 17.2× forward P/E (or $102.38 per share). Is now a good time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

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