Wall Street has set ambitious price targets for the stocks in this article. While this suggests attractive upside potential, it’s important to remain skeptical because analysts face institutional pressures that can sometimes lead to overly optimistic forecasts.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. Keeping that in mind, here is one stock likely to meet or exceed Wall Street’s lofty expectations and two where consensus estimates seem disconnected from reality.
Two Stocks to Sell:
Nabors Industries (NBR)
Consensus Price Target: $108.50 (31.5% implied return)
Operating one of the largest land-based drilling rig fleets in the world with over 285 rigs across more than 15 countries, Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR) operates drilling rigs and provides related services to help oil and gas companies drill wells on land and offshore platforms.
Why Does NBR Worry Us?
- Gross margin of 39% is below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in exploration and production
- Poor free cash flow margin of 2.3% for the last five years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
Nabors Industries is trading at $82.53 per share, or 3x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including NBR in your portfolio.
Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE)
Consensus Price Target: $4.72 (152% implied return)
Operating the largest network of natural gas fueling stations in North America with over 600 locations, Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE) supplies renewable natural gas and conventional natural gas as fuel for commercial vehicle fleets.
Why Is CLNE Risky?
- Muted 9.2% annual revenue growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its energy upstream and integrated energy peers
- Revenue base of $438.6 million puts it at a disadvantage compared to larger competitors exhibiting economies of scale
- Gross margin of 24.4% reflects its high production costs and unfavorable asset base
Clean Energy Fuels’s stock price of $1.87 implies a valuation ratio of 7.3x forward EV-to-EBITDA. To fully understand why you should be careful with CLNE, check out our full research report (it’s free).
One Stock to Watch:
Coursera (COUR)
Consensus Price Target: $8 (37% implied return)
Founded by two Stanford University computer science professors, Coursera (NYSE: COUR) is an online learning platform that offers courses, specializations, and degrees from top universities and organizations around the world.
Why Do We Like COUR?
- Market share is on track to rise over the next 12 months as its 82% projected revenue growth implies demand will accelerate from its three-year trend
- EBITDA profits and efficiency rose over the last few years as it benefited from some fixed cost leverage
- Incremental sales over the last three years have been highly profitable as its earnings per share increased by 47.3% annually, topping its revenue gains
At $5.84 per share, Coursera trades at 2.3x forward EV/EBITDA. Is now the right time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.
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