2 Reasons to Avoid AGYS and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

AGYS Cover Image

Agilysys currently trades at $106.94 and has been a dream stock for shareholders. It’s returned 324% since August 2020, blowing past the S&P 500’s 85.3% gain. The company has also beaten the index over the past six months as its stock price is up 36.1%.

Is there a buying opportunity in Agilysys, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Is Agilysys Not Exciting?

Despite the momentum, we don't have much confidence in Agilysys. Here are two reasons why there are better opportunities than AGYS and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Over the last three years, Agilysys grew its sales at a 19% compounded annual growth rate. Although this growth is acceptable on an absolute basis, it fell slightly short of our standards for the software sector, which enjoys a number of secular tailwinds.

Agilysys Quarterly Revenue

2. Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability

For software companies like Agilysys, gross profit tells us how much money remains after paying for the base cost of products and services (typically servers, licenses, and certain personnel). These costs are usually low as a percentage of revenue, explaining why software is more lucrative than other sectors.

Agilysys’s gross margin is substantially worse than most software businesses, signaling it has relatively high infrastructure costs compared to asset-lite businesses like ServiceNow. As you can see below, it averaged a 62.1% gross margin over the last year. Said differently, Agilysys had to pay a chunky $37.87 to its service providers for every $100 in revenue. Agilysys Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Final Judgment

Agilysys isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. With its shares outperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 9.4× forward price-to-sales (or $106.94 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.

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