Stifel (NYSE:SF) misses Q3 2026 sales expectations

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Financial services firm Stifel Financial (NYSE: SF) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, with sales flat year on year at $1.43 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.46 per share was 1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Stifel (SF) Q3 2026 highlights:

  • Assets Under Management: $576.5 billion vs analyst estimates of $581.9 billion (6% year-on-year growth, 0.9% miss)
  • Revenue: $1.43 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.45 billion (flat year on year, 1.6% miss)
  • Pre-tax Profit: $309.6 million (21.7% margin)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.46 vs analyst estimates of $1.45 (1% beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $10.09 billion

Ronald J. Kruszewski, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said “Stifel is on track for another record year, with year-to-date revenue of $4.3 billion up 9%, core earnings per share of $4.33 up 22%, and return on tangible common equity of 24.1%. The investments we’ve made in our business continued to drive operating efficiencies, as we delivered our highest ever third quarter earnings per share of $1.46, up 12% versus the prior year, on net revenue of $1.43 billion. I am optimistic about our outlook, as Stifel’s diversified business model, recurring revenue stream, and disciplined capital management position us to keep compounding value for shareholders.”

Company overview

Tracing its roots back to 1890 when the firm was established in St. Louis, Stifel Financial (NYSE: SF) is a financial services firm that provides wealth management, investment banking, and institutional brokerage services to individuals, corporations, and institutions.

Revenue growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Unfortunately, Stifel’s 5.5% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was tepid. This wasn’t a great result compared to the rest of the financials sector, but there are still things to like about Stifel.

Stifel Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. Stifel’s annualized revenue growth of 11.2% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, suggesting its demand recently accelerated. Stifel Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers because they were impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

This quarter, Stifel’s $1.43 billion of revenue was flat year on year, falling short of Wall Street’s estimates.

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Assets under management (AUM)

Assets Under Management (AUM) encompasses all client funds under a firm’s investment management umbrella. The recurring fee structure on these assets provides consistent revenue generation, offering financial stability even during periods of poor investment returns, though sustained underperformance can impact future asset flows.

Stifel’s AUM has grown at an annual rate of 7.8% over the last five years, slightly better than the broader financials industry and faster than its total revenue. When analyzing Stifel’s AUM over the last two years, we can see that growth accelerated to 9.3% annually. Fundraising or short-term investment performance was a net detractor to the company over this shorter period since assets grew slower than total revenue. Keep in mind that asset growth can be erratic and seasonal, so we don’t rely on it too heavily for our business quality analysis.

Stifel Assets Under Management

In Q3, Stifel’s AUM was $576.5 billion, falling 0.9% short of analysts’ expectations. This print was 6% higher than the same quarter last year.

Key takeaways from Stifel’s Q3 results

We struggled to find many positives in these results. Its AUM slightly missed and its revenue fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. The stock traded up 3.1% to $68.89 immediately after reporting.

So should you invest in Stifel right now? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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