3 Small-Cap Stocks We Find Risky

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Investors looking for hidden gems should keep an eye on small-cap stocks because they’re frequently overlooked by Wall Street. Many opportunities exist in this part of the market, but it is also a high-risk, high-reward environment due to the lack of reliable analyst price targets.

The downside that can come from buying these securities is precisely why we started StockStory - to isolate the long-term winners from the losers so you can invest with confidence. Keeping that in mind, here are three small-cap stocks to avoid and some other investments you should consider instead.

Flowers Foods (FLO)

Market Cap: $1.37 billion

With Wonder Bread as its premier brand, Flowers Foods (NYSE: FLO) is a packaged foods company that focuses on bakery products such as breads, buns, and cakes.

Why Are We Bearish on FLO?

  1. Declining unit sales over the past two years show it’s struggled to move its products and had to rely on price increases
  2. Sales are projected to tank by 3.1% over the next 12 months as demand evaporates
  3. Earnings per share fell by 24.3% annually over the last three years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable

Flowers Foods is trading at $6.48 per share, or 9.6x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including FLO in your portfolio.

Shoals (SHLS)

Market Cap: $1.18 billion

Started in Huntsville, Alabama, Shoals (NASDAQ: SHLS) designs and manufactures products that make solar energy systems work more efficiently.

Why Does SHLS Worry Us?

  1. Performance over the past two years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 8.5% annually
  2. 8.3 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
  3. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value

Shoals’s stock price of $7.07 implies a valuation ratio of 12.8x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with SHLS, check out our full research report (it’s free).

FB Financial (FBK)

Market Cap: $2.85 billion

Founded in 1906 and operating through more than a century of economic cycles, FB Financial (NYSE: FBK) operates FirstBank, providing commercial and consumer banking services across Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, and North Georgia.

Why Does FBK Give Us Pause?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 2.6% over the last five years was below our standards for the banking sector
  2. Estimated net interest income growth of 5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its five-year trend
  3. Earnings per share were flat over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were less profitable

At $57 per share, FB Financial trades at 1.4x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including FBK in your portfolio.

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