Dillard's currently trades at $573.95 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 4.9%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 6.3% gain during that period.
Is now the time to buy Dillard's, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
Why Is Dillard's Not Exciting?
We’re cautious about Dillard's. Here are three reasons we avoid DDS, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Lack of New Stores, a Headwind for Revenue
A retailer’s store count often determines how much revenue it can generate.
Dillard's operated 272 locations in the latest quarter, and over the last two years, has kept its store count flat while other consumer retail businesses have opted for growth.
When a retailer keeps its store footprint steady, it usually means demand is stable and it’s focusing on operational efficiency to increase profitability.
2. Flat Same-Store Sales Indicate Weak Demand
Same-store sales is a key performance indicator used to measure organic growth at brick-and-mortar shops for at least a year.
Dillard’s demand within its existing locations has barely increased over the last two years as its same-store sales were flat.
3. EPS Trending Down
We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.
Sadly for Dillard's, its EPS declined by 8.9% annually over the last three years, more than its revenue. This tells us the company struggled because its fixed cost base made it difficult to adjust to shrinking demand.
Final Judgment
Dillard's isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. With its shares underperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 16.7× forward P/E (or $573.95 per share). Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We’re fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward a top digital advertising platform riding the creator economy.
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